Panel A: sample period: 1973 to 1983 March (instability period)

H0: inflation does not Granger-cause inflation uncertainty

H0: inflation uncertainty does not Granger-cause inflation

Lags

F-statistics

F-statistics

4

114.99** (+)

7.92

8

127.03** (+)

14.559

12

137.43*** (+)

11.813

Panel B: sample period: 1984-2001 (post-ERP-pre IT period)

Lags

F-statistics

F-statistics

4

35.87*** (+)

1.629

8

46.98*** (+)

4.98

12

17.87*** (+)

17.87

Panel C: sample period: 2002-to date (inflation targeting period)

Lags

F-statistics

F-statistics

4

84.44*** (+)

10.896** (+)

8

129.28*** (+)

30.66*** (+)

12

174.36*** (+)

38.779*** (+)